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Good point. This article uses quasi-experimental methods and finds important partisan differences in Swedish local government: https://www.jstor.org/stable/4028
by ContrarianBrit 5y ago
Good point. This article uses quasi-experimental methods and finds important partisan differences in Swedish local government: https://www.jstor.org/stable/40283092?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents https://www.jstor.org/stable/40283092?seq=1#metadata_info_ta...
- uniqueuid 5y agoThanks! I haven't read the paper yet, but noticed it uses a regression discontinuity design without showing raw data (i.e. a scatterplot). There have been some cases where such discontinuity analyses were extremely misleading [1], so some caution is advised. [1] https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/03/11/regression-discontinuity-analysis-is-often-a-disaster-so-what-should-you-do-instead-do-we-just-give-up-on-the-whole-natural-experiment-idea-heres-my-recommendation/ https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/03/11/regression...
- ContrarianBrit 5y agoThanks for the article! I love methods :-)
- uniqueuid 5y agoAwesome! Maybe you'll like this better method then: Bayesian counterfactual time-series analysis [1]. In essence, it compares a "neutral" time series and another one affected by a natural experiment and produces bayesian point-estimates for the causal impact. Super powerful, there's a great R package, and really easy to use. [1] https://research.google/pubs/pub41854/ https://research.google/pubs/pub41854/
- ContrarianBrit 5y agoThanks! I'll check it out :-)