4 ms·
In biological sciences we have to integrate multiple kinds of evidence — in vitro (or in larva? — in the mask) lab experiments, animal models, randomized contro
by DavidSJ 5y ago
In biological sciences we have to integrate multiple kinds of evidence — in vitro (or in larva? — in the mask) lab experiments, animal models, randomized controlled trials in humans, descriptive statistics of human populations, in silico simulation, etc. — because they all have their advantages and disadvantages.
Lab/in vitro models are great because they allow for tightly controlled conditions and are clear tests of mechanisms, but they might not represent real-world conditions in living human beings in our social context, with all of the attending quirks and nuances.
Animal models are great because they're a complete organism upon which we can still do a whole range of controlled experiments which we can't do in people. But they're not human beings, so there could be differences there. And we can't control them as closely as e.g. an experiment with a few cells or a few viral particles.
etc. etc.
When all the evidence seems to be pointing in roughly the same direction, I think it's fair to say we know something. That appears to be the case with masks limiting the spread of Covid, even if the confidence intervals on the randomized controlled trials are large. That's very different from "little, if any benefit".
- claytongulick 5y agoMargery Smelkinson (the author), Ph.D., infections disease expert focused on Covid 19 and affiliated with NIH, disagrees with your interpretation.
- DavidSJ 5y agoI think we should either evaluate arguments for ourselves, or rely on a broad consensus of experts in the field in question. If we resort to argument from authority, but cherry pick our authorities to be those which agree with our preexisting views, then that won't get us very far epistemically. In this case, I think both the broad consensus of experts as well as the balance of evidence/argumentation supports the efficacy of masks.