I am sensitive to claims that we know more than we do, it is true. A lot of this is pandemic-related; I see a lot of claims about what we know about the virus t

I am sensitive to claims that we know more than we do, it is true. A lot of this is pandemic-related; I see a lot of claims about what we know about the virus that seem totally uncalibrated to the strength of the evidence, and in that context, sloppy/overconfident thinking/expression has actual consequences.