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I think we are in agreement about most things. Did you check the cdc link? Do you have a theory for the rising curve? Re:the “repayment” - every single person
by beagle3 5y ago
I think we are in agreement about most things.
Did you check the cdc link? Do you have a theory for the rising curve?
Re:the “repayment” - every single person can be modeled I.I.d, but the event of death of each person is an increasing failure rate function. Someone who is in bad condition will (a) die at a significant challenge, be it flu, Covid, or other reasons; and (b) will only die once. In that sense there’s repayment - a weak flu season gives some people 6-12 until the next bad season, but usually not much more if a bad flu year would have killed them. This is known as “dry tinder” hypothesis in epidemiology. It’s not a law of nature, or a certainty, but has been observed in the past in some cases.
Thank you very much for an enriching, respectful conversation. Really uncommon on this subject these days.
- csee 5y agoI can think of 3 reasons: - vaccines are killing people - undiagnosed covid / long covid is killing people - something innocuous like the reporting methodology has changed and this category is acting like a residual What makes me think it probably isn't vaccines is that the "Diseases of Heart" category didn't spike. The working hypothesis is that the mRNA vaccines are killing people primarily via myocarditis and heart attacks. I would've thought that this category would therefore have spiked if that was the case? I'd like to see how many of these are young men, I think that that would be revealing.