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Risk of death from Delta was ~200x higher for the elderly. Obesity added another ~4x. It doesn't matter if vaccines lower that by ~90% because the baseline ri
by kansface 5y ago
Risk of death from Delta was ~200x higher for the elderly. Obesity added another ~4x. It doesn't matter if vaccines lower that by ~90% because the baseline risk is still there. Florida skewing much, much older has a massive impact in absolute numbers! You can't naively compare Florida stats to CA stats just like you can't compare Utah stats (a very young red state) to CA stats. A more fair comparison is the percentage of the elderly who died in Florida vs CA - the last time I tried to do the math, Florida came out slightly ahead, but you'd probably need a few days for a semi-rigorous comparison.
In truth, I don't think you can actually just multiply all of these numbers because they are correlated (and possibly non-linear). Also, the vaccines are less effective in the elderly population.
- mike00632 5y ago> It doesn't matter if vaccines lower that by ~90%... 1. Vaccines reduce the risk of death by more than 90%. 2. Given how effective vaccines are at preventing death, the extreme difference in per capita deaths between Florida and California is entirely attributable to the difference in vaccination rates.