4 ms·
Stocks is where people park their money when bonds yield nothing and future expected value of money is decreasing. When the fed keeps a near zero interest rate
by scottiebarnes 5y ago
Stocks is where people park their money when bonds yield nothing and future expected value of money is decreasing.
When the fed keeps a near zero interest rate, people have lower monthly mortgage payments, and can thus take on more debt. When they have the ability to take on more debt, they can bid higher on housing prices.
When the fed injects trillions of dollars into the economy in the form of stimulus and quantitative easing, there is a surplus of money that makes it way throughout the economy, and this attributes to inflation.
It's called a debt crisis leading to hyperinflation and economic collapse. It may not be happening now, and maybe not even in our lifetime, but it is inevitable based on the current model of monetary policy. And when the USD/US economy collapses, it will be the biggest one in history.
- acdha 5y agoI am familiar with the cryptocurrency marketing pitch but remember that people are trying to use fear to sell tokens. It’s never good to get advice from someone with that large a conflict of interest. We’re nowhere near what economists consider hyperinflation and the 7% we’re seeing is more convincingly explained by the well-known issues caused by a global pandemic which will not run forever.
- scottiebarnes 5y agoSo I've actually mentioned nothing about cryptocurrency, not sure how you got a marketing pitch from that, I'm pointing out the flaws of central banking and fiat currency. The inflation you're seeing is largely and principally caused by the reactionary measures of central banking. https://fedguy.com/2-trillion-pandemic-savings/ https://fedguy.com/2-trillion-pandemic-savings/ "During the pandemic many special programs were rolled out to support household incomes: $1.1t in forgivable business loans to maintain payroll, $800b in direct stimulus checks, and $700b in extra unemployment benefits. While the pandemic programs of other countries prevented incomes from falling too much, the U.S. programs actually significantly boosted incomes. Overall wages did not fall, and total income rose above trend due to transfer payments (stimulus checks and unemployment benefits)." But you say, "These measures were necessary. We were in a pandemic unlike any other. People needed to survive during lockdowns." Fair enough, but all actions have equal and opposite reactions. The creation of new money is the devaluation of old money. The government does not have trillions of dollars in a savings account, ready and available to be spent. Stepping back, we look at the federal debt and see that it is $29 trillion USD presently. How did it get that high, and will it ever be paid off? Which political party will be popular enough to tax enough wealth, long enough, that this debt gets paid down? Some theorists believe US debt doesn't matter; it can always be paid off, because the US controls the reserve currency and the magic money printer. To me, it is clear what the next 100 years of this thinking will result in.