By trying to be the next Google, the company may significantly lower its probability of getting any money at all out of the deal. So it's an expected value iss

By trying to be the next Google, the company may significantly lower its probability of getting any money at all out of the deal. So it's an expected value issue -- which expectation is higher? Is it really so obvious that the larger sales price the company would get outweighs the hit in payout probability?