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The decision to take an umbrella shouldn't be about the probability of rain, but about the cost of being rained upon vs the cost of taking an umbrella. It does

The decision to take an umbrella shouldn't be about the probability of rain, but about the cost of being rained upon vs the cost of taking an umbrella. It doesn't matter if there's only a 1% chance of rain if you're parading your sugar sculpture around town all day. Similarly a 90% chance of rain when you're driving to and from a friend's house can be largely ignored.

tzs 5y ago
> The decision to take an umbrella shouldn't be about the probability of rain, but about the cost of being rained upon vs the cost of taking an umbrella. A good example is Seattle and surrounding areas. When I lived in central California, Southern California, and the Bay Area in California I used my umbrella many times a year. In Seattle and the surrounding areas I've used my umbrella maybe 10 times in the last ~30 years. Seattle gets much more total rain than those other places, and has many more rainy days, so it might seem odd that I'd use my umbrella much less frequently. The difference is that in Seattle unless you are obsessive about having your umbrella with you at all times except maybe during the summer, you are going to get caught in the rain without it. After that happens a few times you realize that because most of the time our rain is not very intense you didn't actually get too wet--in the time it took to walk between buildings or between a building and your transportation you only got a little wet. If that bothers you a hat or a hoodie will take care of it, without the annoyance of having to dedicate a hand to holding an umbrella. When we do get the intense rain that will get you seriously soaked in a short time it usually only lasts a short time then it is back to the mild rain that your hat can handle. Those 10 times I used my umbrella here? About half of them were shortly after I moved to here, before I figured out that going around one handed for at least half the year is way more annoying for not really much noticeable gain over getting a hat with a wide enough brim to keep the rain off my glasses. The other half was recently after I installed gutter guards around my house and garage and made some adjustments to the drainage around the downspouts, and specifically went out during those brief periods of very intense rain to check that the gutter guards could handle the flow and the the water was ending up where it was supposed to end up.

tzs 5y ago

> The decision to take an umbrella shouldn't be about the probability of rain, but about the cost of being rained upon vs the cost of taking an umbrella. A good example is Seattle and surrounding areas. When I lived in central California, Southern California, and the Bay Area in California I used my umbrella many times a year. In Seattle and the surrounding areas I've used my umbrella maybe 10 times in the last ~30 years. Seattle gets much more total rain than those other places, and has many more rainy days, so it might seem odd that I'd use my umbrella much less frequently. The difference is that in Seattle unless you are obsessive about having your umbrella with you at all times except maybe during the summer, you are going to get caught in the rain without it. After that happens a few times you realize that because most of the time our rain is not very intense you didn't actually get too wet--in the time it took to walk between buildings or between a building and your transportation you only got a little wet. If that bothers you a hat or a hoodie will take care of it, without the annoyance of having to dedicate a hand to holding an umbrella. When we do get the intense rain that will get you seriously soaked in a short time it usually only lasts a short time then it is back to the mild rain that your hat can handle. Those 10 times I used my umbrella here? About half of them were shortly after I moved to here, before I figured out that going around one handed for at least half the year is way more annoying for not really much noticeable gain over getting a hat with a wide enough brim to keep the rain off my glasses. The other half was recently after I installed gutter guards around my house and garage and made some adjustments to the drainage around the downspouts, and specifically went out during those brief periods of very intense rain to check that the gutter guards could handle the flow and the the water was ending up where it was supposed to end up.