i think the bit about old paradigm vs new paradigm tenure application bias overlooks a few things. this bias doesn’t just affect the proportion of admissions ac

i think the bit about old paradigm vs new paradigm tenure application bias overlooks a few things. this bias doesn’t just affect the proportion of admissions across paradigms, it’s a selection filter that allows only the best of the new paradigm people through. so even if this bias results in only 5% of the field being new-paradigmers after the first round, that selection might mean that closer to 10% of the overall output comes from new-paradigmers (because it’s selected for new-paradigmers which are in some way exceptional). that’s not enough to reverse the direction of this selection, but the effect would reduce the requirement for the other “luck”-based elements in order for the new paradigm to “take root”.