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Yeah, I flinched at that part too, but for a different reason: it assumes that everyone else is honest and has the same goals you do. Hiking destinations. I ha
by thaumaturgy 15y ago
Yeah, I flinched at that part too, but for a different reason: it assumes that everyone else is honest and has the same goals you do.
Hiking destinations. I have a longtime friend and hiking buddy who really likes tough, exposed hikes up to the top of something, with a perverse derision towards anything resembling a freshwater source anywhere along the hike. But he also can't stand mosquitoes. At all. So, he might say, "Don't go in that meadow, there are mosquitoes in there." For me, they're annoying, but I like little hidden meadows, so maybe I want to go there.
And, also, there's a chance that you'll figure out something that nobody else has. You go in that swamp, even though someone warned you about the alligators, and you manage to avoid the alligators but you get a cut while you're in there and you discover that the swamp muck does something interesting with cuts, it actually disinfects them and helps them heal better.
My dad used to say that a smart man learns from his mistakes and a wise man learns from others'. The older I get, the more skeptical I become about that.
- khafra 15y agoMore likely, some exotic bacteria gets in the cut and you develop necrotizing fascitis. Learning from your own mistakes instead of others' is a high-variance strategy. Our culture is better off because of the people that do it, but if you're selfishly looking to maximize your own expected value, you'll put great weight on the majoritarian view.
- thaumaturgy 15y agoI am often grateful that humans are not perfect game theory machines.
- khafra 15y agoIt would certainly be depressing to live in a world of John Nashes. On the other hand, if everyone were perfect bounded rationalists, we'd merely have to replace Causal Decision Theory and Evidential Decision Theory with something that can solve coordination problems--probably a variant of Timeless Decision Theory, which could already solve this particular problem in many ways.