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> Pre-registration only assures that your study will not get any worse than it was the first time you thought of it, which may be very bad indeed. > > Searching
by Karellen 5y ago
> Pre-registration only assures that your study will not get any worse than it was the first time you thought of it, which may be very bad indeed.
>
> Searching for publication bias only means you will get all of the confounded studies, instead of just some of them.
No, pre-registration assures that when you do a study and get a negative result, you don't simply forget to publish it - helping to reduce publication bias.
But also, it prevents you from changing what you were looking for (because that's part of the pre-registration data) and "data dredging" for something that looks like a positive result, helping to reduce p-hacking - specifically of the "Texas sharpshooter fallacy" variety.
- jessriedel 5y agoWhat you wrote and what the author wrote do not conflict. Indeed, the author already noted the goal of preregistration earlier in the essay. He is explaining here why it doesn't save you from different issues.
- BeFlatXIII 5y agoHow does pre-reg handle cases where unexpected findings are made along the way? Are those data to be scrapped so everyone has to start their pre-registered "real" study from scratch?
- gjvnq 5y agoI imagine you would report both that you failed to find what you expected but that you also found something else.