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Some things do have simple neat correct explanations though. So it reduces to a tautology - "be suspicious of simple explanations in areas where you wouldn't ex
by civilized 5y ago
Some things do have simple neat correct explanations though. So it reduces to a tautology - "be suspicious of simple explanations in areas where you wouldn't expect a simple explanation to work".
- layer8 5y agoI’d argue that as a non-expert you can’t really assess whether a simple explanation would work or not, and therefore you’d have to be suspicious about having expectations that it would.
- civilized 5y agoIf you lack expertise enough to say if a simple explanation works, you lack expertise in complex ones too, and should probably stop trying to guess what's right based on very weak signals. Which was my original point.