11 ms·
> Anecdotally I sold all of my non retirement stocks and am sitting on cash. This is a bad idea. Even if you could predict when the dip occurs—which is impossi
by throw0101a 5y ago
> Anecdotally I sold all of my non retirement stocks and am sitting on cash.
This is a bad idea. Even if you could predict when the dip occurs—which is impossible—it's still better to be in the market:
* https://ofdollarsanddata.com/even-god-couldnt-beat-dollar-cost-averaging/ https://ofdollarsanddata.com/even-god-couldnt-beat-dollar-co...
While you may miss the bad days, you will almost certainly miss the good days—and those are key to getting good long-term returns:
> If you missed just the 25 strongest days in the stock market since 1990, you might as well have been in five year treasury notes.
* https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2019/02/08/miss-the-worst-days-miss-the-best-days/ https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2019/02/08/miss-the-worst-...
> Looking at data going back to 1930, the firm found that if an investor sat out the S&P 500′s 10 best days per decade, total returns would be significantly lower than the return for investors who waited it out.
* https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/24/this-chart-shows-why-investors-should-never-try-to-time-the-stock-market.html https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/24/this-chart-shows-why-investo...
> J.P. Morgan Asset Management's 2019 Retirement Guide[1] shows the impact that pulling out of the market has on a portfolio. Looking back over the 20-year period from Jan. 1, 1999, to Dec. 31, 2018, if you missed the top 10 best days in the stock market, your overall return was cut in half. That's a significant difference for only 10 days over two decades!
* https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/04/11/what-happens-when-you-miss-the-best-days-in-the-st.aspx https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/04/11/what-happens-when-...
- moistly 5y agoIf I have cash, I can purchase other lucrative opportunities. Land. Businesses. Rental housing. Luxury properties. Real assets, income-generating assets. Just a thought.
- moistly 5y agoAnother thought: apparently meme-stock people are finding out that they don’t actually own their stock. Asking their broker to transfer their stock to the DRS, their trading representative has said “No.” It turns out these retail investors do not effectively own the stock. They own an entry in the broker’s book. The broker controls the stock. They decide what to do do with it. Maybe they want to lend it to a friend for a few days. If you ask for it today, they’ll get it to you in a week. Promise. Definitely by corporate year-end! Could be interesting times if there’s a high retail demand to have stocks directly registered to the DRS. Who really owns the stocks?