Checking 1 week later: We've seen record hospitalization for the pandemic (which today looks like it may be peaking): https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/

Checking 1 week later: We've seen record hospitalization for the pandemic (which today looks like it may be peaking): https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#new-hospital-admissions https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#new-hospital-admis... The record daily death so far is 2,997 which surpasses all waves with the exception of last winter's which was the largest on record so far: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailydeaths https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailydeaths You still have a reasonably good chance of being correct but I think at the very least you should reconsider writing off the risks as "shtick". The number to beat for daily deaths is 4,069. Either way right now we have the 2nd worst wave of the pandemic as far as deaths go, which is very far from the "mild" claims that were aggressively circulating a few weeks ago. I'll check back in two more weeks.