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The weird thing to me that I've been seeing is VCs harping on inflation as a consequence of what they view as loose monetary policy with zero apparent sense of
by im_down_w_otp 5y ago
The weird thing to me that I've been seeing is VCs harping on inflation as a consequence of what they view as loose monetary policy with zero apparent sense of irony that the truly massive explosion of VC over the last 10 years is entirely because of not just all the top-end liquidity that's been frothing all over the place since QE began back in the 2008 financial crisis, but _also_ the fact that the net-negative interest rates on stable long-term investments effectively create whole new categories of LPs for VCs to chase that previously couldn't/wouldn't touch the VC ecosystem with a 10-foot pole.
Talk about looking a gift horse in the mouth. Or, perhaps biting the hand that feeds you? I dunno, I'm sure there's an appropriate colloquialism.
If QTmageddon is coming (something I personally think is a mistake since it seems like price inflation is being principally driven by supply shock dynamics, but I digress), then the first reckoning in the financial markets is almost certainly going to be VC. The risk profile makes absolutely no sense without a cheap money market.
- echelon 5y agoAre VC money and investments going to dry up? What's the timeline on this?
- im_down_w_otp 5y agoDry up? I don't think so. You'd see a change in the level of risk aversion (so doing more deals in companies that have been de-risked more) and probably quite a lot of consolidation where the massive increase in the sheer number of small & mid-tier players would contract significantly. In terms of timeline? No idea. Hopefully sometime after we need to raise our next round of financing. ;-)
- zozbot234 5y agoIsn't that exactly what 'VC money drying up' looks like practically? What am I missing?