> Yet if computing probabilities is such an integral part of how we perceive and think about the world, why have humans gained a reputation for being bad at pro

> Yet if computing probabilities is such an integral part of how we perceive and think about the world, why have humans gained a reputation for being bad at probability? Maybe we are able to grasp probabilities at the most fundamental parts of our physiology, but layers and layers of cognition on top of it add estimators with noise (all our guesses around the world and ourselves) which pretty much hide entirely the probabilistic foundation (perhaps due to limits in cognition & memory degradation). Guessing that something is "a red car turning left" is a hell of a lot more complicated than guessing whether a singular line is at a 45-degree angle. For the latter maybe we can tap into neuronal activity almost 1-to-1, for the former you have to add estimators around red, car, turning, left, and language assumptions.