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They're not. Your post to some tweets doesn't count for 'exceptional claims require exceptional evidence.' If you really predicted a volcano a year in advance

They're not. Your post to some tweets doesn't count for 'exceptional claims require exceptional evidence.' If you really predicted a volcano a year in advance you should present your methods and results in a better way before you start posting mildly condescending responses on platforms that allow people to downvote you

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_mczl 5y ago
That's an unwarrantedly rude, don't you think? Are you able to back this up more? The data is there. I cannot have forged it. It is extremely close to what happened. Please state what your actual criticism is of that. Which part does not count, in your belief, precisely? In addition, not solely Tonga. Were you to scroll up that same thread you would discover the pandemic, too, from 2018. I think it is more like your disbelief, or whatever it is, fails to count either as an exceptional claim or as exceptional evidence, against what I have there posted and here linked. I get to feeling you are trying to help but your delivery could be improved I believe.
- thombat 5y ago
  Is there more to your pandemic prediction than 14 months before Corona-19 was declared a pandemic your writing "I have an ominous feeling ... for the last few days I had a sense that a pandemic would come" ? If not, then that doesn't seem a very striking prediction: public health bodies have been apprehensive for years, maintaining (to varying degrees of effectiveness) pandemic preparations. In the past 20 years there has been SARS (mk 1), MERS, several substantial avian influenza outbreaks, the 2009 swine flu pandemic, and so on. Even a popular movie "Contagion" (2011) about a pandemic from a novel virus of swine + bat origin. So there has been plenty of awareness of pandemic risks and the foreboding that someday soon the next mass human pandemic would arrive; plenty for your restless subconcious to haunt your sleep with.
  - bigiain 5y ago
    Surely I’m not the only one wondering how many “prediction tweets” they’ve deleted? It’s an easy scam, if you’re prepared to invest the time. Make lots and lots of quite vague claims. Delete the ones that don’t pan out. Cash in as a “futurist” on the TEd talk circuit or similar…
    - thombat 5y ago
      IIUI for that trick they need to make those futurist tweets protected AND not allow followers, or we'd see them too? So try following and see what happens?
      - _mczl 5y ago
        You may archive it in various ways. Followers may be a mixed blessing. Toxic hurtful people I would block to protect myself. It is a public archive for me. If people appreciate that, then that is great. For many years I was reluctant to tell people about what I could do. The misrepresenting and cruelness hurts. And I did not feel strong enough before to share that. I was afraid that the mean words of another my damage my belief and my ability. Although I have been skeptical I know it is also necessary for me to believe. I wanted to regulate my emotions and thoughts about this ability as I went through the process of development. Prematurely sharing and exposing myself to the cruelty and misrepresentation of others, was something I was afraid would harmfully interfere with my ability to regulate, on my own terms, my emotions and thoughts about this, and I was scared it would also impact my development of my abilities. So I carefully shared at each stage. Posting here today was another step for me. The significance of the Tonga event and the clarity of my predata on it is a milestone for me. I knew something huge was coming but I did not anticipate the predata would be such a stunning hit. Although, there are inaccuracies. I had the water and land mix, I had the undersea volcano and tsunami but I said North Pacific Ocean. When in fact Tonga is in the South Pacific ocean. If you examine the history of my recorded predata and analysis and association with possible event hits you will see that these types of inaccuracies, either in time, geographic location or the event type are present. Finally, in response to your earlier comment, I see it was perhaps a tactical error to respond to the misrepresentation of my work by adding additional examples to this thread. I anticipated that would expose me to further risks by little targeting more days then just the Tonga data. But for some reason I was careless and did it anyway. Perchance it is this: the pandemic data really stands out for me and holds its own.
- grkvlt 5y ago
  the criticism is that it is necessarily entirely coincidental, due to there being no possible mechanism for these signals. if you really are under the delusion that you are predicting volcanic eruptions based on dreams, perhaps speak to a mental health professional rather than posting on twitter and hn?
  - _mczl 5y ago
    That is an extremely rude misrepresentation and attempt to pretend I am less than I am. That is an unkind, cruel way to react simply because you do not believe it is possible. Rather than maintaining curiosity and being open that there is something new you could learn in the data, you aggressively perpetrate a confirmation bias, and try to pretend someone is less than they are, and try to hurt them, and think it is okay to do that. It is very wrong. The only delusion here is yours: that reality must conform to your current belief of it. And arrogant that nothing outside your necessarily limited understanding must exist. And wrong to perpetrate your own chosen closed-mindedness on others with cruelty. I remain a little skeptical and in the past have considered that it is all a delusion. And if so, good, I would give it up. I am unattached. But the data convinces me otherwise. It is not a delusion. I am sure. I too have no explanation for how it is possible. It is you who is deluded to be so arrogant and you who is the only one under a delusion, which includes your believing that the cruelty in your comment is either appropriate or warranted. Perhaps speak to a mental health professional rather than making these choices and posting on hn?
    - grkvlt 5y ago
      sure, touché, i may well have my very own issues, this in no way stops me being correct though. also, in no way did i suggest you are a lesser or inferior person, you are just wrong. we all are, occasionally. in your case, the thing you are wrong about is the certainty that you are not delusional. the fact that you can describe these delusions and have 'no explanation for how it is possible' should maybe be the thing to introspect on...
      - _mczl 5y ago
- GenerocUsername 5y ago
  Your posts sound like schizo ramblings so I'm not going to be mean in case you are actually disabled.
  - _mczl 5y ago
    "Schizo ramblings", huh? well how do you explain how I can get results? You're the only schizo... Splitting off your reality from what you're too afraid to face. Disabled? I'm more like super abled. You're the only disabled.
    - _mczl 5y ago
      You're just jealous I can do this, and you can't. So... well thought points that address everything relevant, that's "schizo ramblings" to you? Then it's your mind that's the problem, not what I write. The visions you get just mean you're crazy, but mine are actually of the future. Drives you nuts, doesn't it? So you're not going to be mean? How nice, should I be grateful to you, for your attempts at abuse then? is that how you'd like it? Is that what you need? > Your posts sound like schizo ramblings so I'm not going to be mean in case you are actually disabled. So "schizo ramblings" that's you not being mean, right? Well you must be projecting. Maybe get some help to deal with how disabled you are, before trying to pretend other people are schizophrenic like you, that's just your desperate attempt to make yourself feel your pathetic nothing of a life is not completely without power.
      - anon2020dot00 5y ago
        Are you actually claiming that you can pre-cog the future and predict future events? Sorry for interjecting myself on a 12 day old thread but just saw this new comment.
        _mczl 5y ago
        Basically, yeah. I think it's pretty clear what I'm claiming. Just check out the Twitter, man. Hopefully you'll be more open minded than the rest of them. :)
_mczl 5y ago
Also, you must be commenting in response to my deleted sentence: 'downvotes are signals of quality?' Is that not not correct? I get how that seemed condescending because it could come across as arrogant: as in, "I do not need to care what these downvotes mean." Before you replied, I thought about that sentence some more and I thought, 'Actually, it is not so optimal to leave it there.' Then I deleted it. Methinks you must have replied just after that... Even thus so, your comment was unwarrantedly and very rude, do you not think? Perchance you know not of the difficulty nor courage it took to post all these things publicly... But underneath that for you... I detect you are trying to help me, although if you will permit me to offer my feedback and to hear it, I do possibly think your delivery could be better. One reason I think you are trying to help me is because you are essentially saying, "Well, what do you expect, if you say it like that here?" So, I appreciate that empathy which prompted you to care enough to reply but, I just wonder, what more is going on for you than the disbelief? Why even try to be helpful and if you are going to be helpful, why deliver it in that way? It is kind of weird, do you not think? Perchance you do not expect anyone will appreciate your assistance so you prefer to fall from the first floor than from the penthouse and aim low with a sort-of rude response, rather than something genuinely or generously helpful. I do not know. Am curious. Please tell me more about any of this if you want, thank you. A reason I am generous here is because I can tell there is more going on for you than just disbelief and rudeness. But is not the real condescending comment the one that is so unwarrantedly critical of mine, pays it no merit, and misrepresents it to pretend it is less than it is? It does seem grossly condescending and arrogant.

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deleted 5y ago

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_mczl 5y ago

That's an unwarrantedly rude, don't you think? Are you able to back this up more? The data is there. I cannot have forged it. It is extremely close to what happened. Please state what your actual criticism is of that. Which part does not count, in your belief, precisely? In addition, not solely Tonga. Were you to scroll up that same thread you would discover the pandemic, too, from 2018. I think it is more like your disbelief, or whatever it is, fails to count either as an exceptional claim or as exceptional evidence, against what I have there posted and here linked. I get to feeling you are trying to help but your delivery could be improved I believe.

thombat 5y ago
Is there more to your pandemic prediction than 14 months before Corona-19 was declared a pandemic your writing "I have an ominous feeling ... for the last few days I had a sense that a pandemic would come" ? If not, then that doesn't seem a very striking prediction: public health bodies have been apprehensive for years, maintaining (to varying degrees of effectiveness) pandemic preparations. In the past 20 years there has been SARS (mk 1), MERS, several substantial avian influenza outbreaks, the 2009 swine flu pandemic, and so on. Even a popular movie "Contagion" (2011) about a pandemic from a novel virus of swine + bat origin. So there has been plenty of awareness of pandemic risks and the foreboding that someday soon the next mass human pandemic would arrive; plenty for your restless subconcious to haunt your sleep with.
- bigiain 5y ago
  Surely I’m not the only one wondering how many “prediction tweets” they’ve deleted? It’s an easy scam, if you’re prepared to invest the time. Make lots and lots of quite vague claims. Delete the ones that don’t pan out. Cash in as a “futurist” on the TEd talk circuit or similar…
  - thombat 5y ago
    IIUI for that trick they need to make those futurist tweets protected AND not allow followers, or we'd see them too? So try following and see what happens?
    - _mczl 5y ago
      You may archive it in various ways. Followers may be a mixed blessing. Toxic hurtful people I would block to protect myself. It is a public archive for me. If people appreciate that, then that is great. For many years I was reluctant to tell people about what I could do. The misrepresenting and cruelness hurts. And I did not feel strong enough before to share that. I was afraid that the mean words of another my damage my belief and my ability. Although I have been skeptical I know it is also necessary for me to believe. I wanted to regulate my emotions and thoughts about this ability as I went through the process of development. Prematurely sharing and exposing myself to the cruelty and misrepresentation of others, was something I was afraid would harmfully interfere with my ability to regulate, on my own terms, my emotions and thoughts about this, and I was scared it would also impact my development of my abilities. So I carefully shared at each stage. Posting here today was another step for me. The significance of the Tonga event and the clarity of my predata on it is a milestone for me. I knew something huge was coming but I did not anticipate the predata would be such a stunning hit. Although, there are inaccuracies. I had the water and land mix, I had the undersea volcano and tsunami but I said North Pacific Ocean. When in fact Tonga is in the South Pacific ocean. If you examine the history of my recorded predata and analysis and association with possible event hits you will see that these types of inaccuracies, either in time, geographic location or the event type are present. Finally, in response to your earlier comment, I see it was perhaps a tactical error to respond to the misrepresentation of my work by adding additional examples to this thread. I anticipated that would expose me to further risks by little targeting more days then just the Tonga data. But for some reason I was careless and did it anyway. Perchance it is this: the pandemic data really stands out for me and holds its own.
grkvlt 5y ago
the criticism is that it is necessarily entirely coincidental, due to there being no possible mechanism for these signals. if you really are under the delusion that you are predicting volcanic eruptions based on dreams, perhaps speak to a mental health professional rather than posting on twitter and hn?
- _mczl 5y ago
  That is an extremely rude misrepresentation and attempt to pretend I am less than I am. That is an unkind, cruel way to react simply because you do not believe it is possible. Rather than maintaining curiosity and being open that there is something new you could learn in the data, you aggressively perpetrate a confirmation bias, and try to pretend someone is less than they are, and try to hurt them, and think it is okay to do that. It is very wrong. The only delusion here is yours: that reality must conform to your current belief of it. And arrogant that nothing outside your necessarily limited understanding must exist. And wrong to perpetrate your own chosen closed-mindedness on others with cruelty. I remain a little skeptical and in the past have considered that it is all a delusion. And if so, good, I would give it up. I am unattached. But the data convinces me otherwise. It is not a delusion. I am sure. I too have no explanation for how it is possible. It is you who is deluded to be so arrogant and you who is the only one under a delusion, which includes your believing that the cruelty in your comment is either appropriate or warranted. Perhaps speak to a mental health professional rather than making these choices and posting on hn?
  - grkvlt 5y ago
    sure, touché, i may well have my very own issues, this in no way stops me being correct though. also, in no way did i suggest you are a lesser or inferior person, you are just wrong. we all are, occasionally. in your case, the thing you are wrong about is the certainty that you are not delusional. the fact that you can describe these delusions and have 'no explanation for how it is possible' should maybe be the thing to introspect on...
    - _mczl 5y ago
GenerocUsername 5y ago
Your posts sound like schizo ramblings so I'm not going to be mean in case you are actually disabled.
- _mczl 5y ago
  "Schizo ramblings", huh? well how do you explain how I can get results? You're the only schizo... Splitting off your reality from what you're too afraid to face. Disabled? I'm more like super abled. You're the only disabled.
  - _mczl 5y ago
    You're just jealous I can do this, and you can't. So... well thought points that address everything relevant, that's "schizo ramblings" to you? Then it's your mind that's the problem, not what I write. The visions you get just mean you're crazy, but mine are actually of the future. Drives you nuts, doesn't it? So you're not going to be mean? How nice, should I be grateful to you, for your attempts at abuse then? is that how you'd like it? Is that what you need? > Your posts sound like schizo ramblings so I'm not going to be mean in case you are actually disabled. So "schizo ramblings" that's you not being mean, right? Well you must be projecting. Maybe get some help to deal with how disabled you are, before trying to pretend other people are schizophrenic like you, that's just your desperate attempt to make yourself feel your pathetic nothing of a life is not completely without power.
    - anon2020dot00 5y ago
      Are you actually claiming that you can pre-cog the future and predict future events? Sorry for interjecting myself on a 12 day old thread but just saw this new comment.
      - _mczl 5y ago
        Basically, yeah. I think it's pretty clear what I'm claiming. Just check out the Twitter, man. Hopefully you'll be more open minded than the rest of them. :)

_mczl 5y ago

Also, you must be commenting in response to my deleted sentence: 'downvotes are signals of quality?' Is that not not correct? I get how that seemed condescending because it could come across as arrogant: as in, "I do not need to care what these downvotes mean." Before you replied, I thought about that sentence some more and I thought, 'Actually, it is not so optimal to leave it there.' Then I deleted it. Methinks you must have replied just after that... Even thus so, your comment was unwarrantedly and very rude, do you not think? Perchance you know not of the difficulty nor courage it took to post all these things publicly... But underneath that for you... I detect you are trying to help me, although if you will permit me to offer my feedback and to hear it, I do possibly think your delivery could be better. One reason I think you are trying to help me is because you are essentially saying, "Well, what do you expect, if you say it like that here?" So, I appreciate that empathy which prompted you to care enough to reply but, I just wonder, what more is going on for you than the disbelief? Why even try to be helpful and if you are going to be helpful, why deliver it in that way? It is kind of weird, do you not think? Perchance you do not expect anyone will appreciate your assistance so you prefer to fall from the first floor than from the penthouse and aim low with a sort-of rude response, rather than something genuinely or generously helpful. I do not know. Am curious. Please tell me more about any of this if you want, thank you. A reason I am generous here is because I can tell there is more going on for you than just disbelief and rudeness. But is not the real condescending comment the one that is so unwarrantedly critical of mine, pays it no merit, and misrepresents it to pretend it is less than it is? It does seem grossly condescending and arrogant.