3 ms·
Most of this is wrong even for a few years ago when fanciful western projections of PRC campaign ovre TW was extra wrong. PRC planners have concluded it can ta
by dirtyid 5y ago
Most of this is wrong even for a few years ago when fanciful western projections of PRC campaign ovre TW was extra wrong.
PRC planners have concluded it can take TW without US intervention ~5 years ago. US/JP planners have finally admitted the same this year. Reality is TW has an extremely outdated military that's not at all well prepared or well funded. It doesn't have any extensive asymmetric training, nor is the nation determined to fight insurgent style if shit hits fan. Those are all US porcupine wish lists, and none of it was / is remotely reality.
The consensus understanding right now is sheer imbalance in capabilities (PRC has both quantity and quality) means PRC will be able to do to TW what US did to Iraq. More or less annihilate their military from the conventional fight within a few days after which PRC operations would be relatively uncontested.