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The Ontario dashboard for "Not in ICU" currently shows 739 unvaccinated and 2050 vaccinated. But since effectiveness compares rates, not absolute numbers, one n
by curt15 5y ago
The Ontario dashboard for "Not in ICU" currently shows 739 unvaccinated and 2050 vaccinated. But since effectiveness compares rates, not absolute numbers, one needs to normalize those numbers by the size of each subpopulation. Since roughly 80 percent of Ontarios are vaxxed, the relative risk for being unvaccinated is approximately
(739/0.2) / (2050/0.8) = 1.4
- curt15 5y agoAny reason for the downwote? If anything, this underestimates the risk since it assumes no difference in infection rates. If one normalizes instead by the actual number of unvaccinated cases and vaccinated cases as reported further down on that page, one gets (739/1456) / (2050/8079) = 2