4 ms·
Yes. You should have an opinion on an organisation's probity based on what you know about it. If you don't have data on a specfic organsiation's track record yo
by barry-cotter 5y ago
Yes. You should have an opinion on an organisation's probity based on what you know about it. If you don't have data on a specfic organsiation's track record you default to the reference class. If you see something like SF, where records suggest crime in all areas bar murder is falling, but retailers are shutting stores, boarding up windows and putting razor blades behind the counter you just don't trust the figures.
When you know the data is bullshit and lies you say so.