"Do <outlier> examples lead people to think that <outlier's outcome> might be theirs?" It's everywhere: One kid becomes autistic after the DPT vaccine, and ev

"Do <outlier> examples lead people to think that <outlier's outcome> might be theirs?" It's everywhere: One kid becomes autistic after the DPT vaccine, and everyone hears about it. Someone sees you jogging on three separate days, and assumes you must do it every day. Several people I know or know of are killed in private plane crashes, so I won't go up in a private plane anymore. (Just to show I'm not immune either.) People are helpless at estimating likelihood.