4 ms·
Given that this has an animal reservoir, and has now infected multiple mammals, I think we can put it in the "Never Going Away" category, in that even if we st
by at_a_remove 5y ago
Given that this has an animal reservoir, and has now infected multiple mammals, I think we can put it in the "Never Going Away" category, in that even if we stopped human-to-human transmission entirely, it would still pop up like rabies.
The best case scenario is that it begins to look like the flu, unless someone comes up with a vaccine which makes you immune to all variants forever.
One of the bigger mistakes around this focused on a compliance percentage that was unrealistic. We can't even get people to stop killing one another, the idea that everyone was going to upend their lives in a sudden bout of cooperation was not a reasonable expectation. The resistance we are to expect is beyond the four percent "lizardman constant" and probably closer to twenty or thirty percent. And the moment it became politicized, the compliance percentage would drop even further.
Then you have to ask yourself, how long will people put up with it? How long will people stick to a diet? How long will they keep to their budgets? Generally, long-term discipline does not happen as much as we would like.
Most pandemic responses were formulated with overly optimistic opinions about compliance rates and how long people would do whatever you told them. Meanwhile, various authorities are fumbling around and eroding confidence. At one school in a city where Omicron rates were booming, school administrators made attendance mandatory for some gathering to talk about the hat situation. Apparently, dealing with the hat situation was more important than avoiding creating a possible superspreader event. The more of this senselessness that becomes evident, the less people are apt to do what they are told.
Frankly, we've done about as well as I could have expected.