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Even if you're not vaccinated, you're extremely unlikely to have serious consequences unless you're elderly and/or have comorbidities. The infection fatality ra
by JSavageOne 5y ago
Even if you're not vaccinated, you're extremely unlikely to have serious consequences unless you're elderly and/or have comorbidities. The infection fatality rate of COVID19 (which can only be estimated) is something like 0.20%. "Long COVID" is extremely rare and severely overstated.
- jat850 5y agoShow your math on 0.2%. This does not appear to hold true for any country I can think of off the top of my head. US and Canada are somewhere around 1.3-1.5% last I checked.
- JSavageOne 5y agoYou're referring to Case Fatality Rates. Case Fatality Rate = confirmed deaths / confirmed cases Infection Fatality Rate = total deaths / total infections Total infections can only be estimated, and is much higher than confirmed cases because most people who get COVID-19 don't get tested for it (either because they're asymptomatic, unable to get tested, or don't see see a point since they already know they're sick). Thus the infection fatality rate is substantially less than the case fatality rate. This paper estimates the median infection fatality rate to be 0.23% https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33716331/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33716331/ Also worth noting that deaths could be overestimated since anyone who dies having tested COVID positive is counted as a COVID death, and pretty much all patients who enter a hospital these days are tested for COVID.