4 ms·
> The virus is still very dangerous to the unvaccinated Do we know this about omicron? How dangerous is "very dangerous"? As it is with pre-omicron, CFR for
by dnautics 5y ago
> The virus is still very dangerous to the unvaccinated
Do we know this about omicron? How dangerous is "very dangerous"? As it is with pre-omicron, CFR for COVID-19 was, pessimistically, 0.5-1%, less if you're not in an at-risk group. AFAICT we have no reliable numbers on "long covid".
For the record, I am not anti-vaxx, I am vaccinated, I'm just anti-using-science-as-an-ideology.
- clarge1120 5y agoAlso, let’s define “very dangerous”. Every recovery chart I’ve seen shows a 98 percent or higher recovery rate: similar to a bad flu season.
- nwiswell 5y ago> Do we know this about omicron? Here's the early numbers out of major cities: https://i.imgur.com/g8tyRdQ.png https://i.imgur.com/g8tyRdQ.png It's probably somewhere between 75% as serious and as serious as Delta, but we can't be sure yet. The handwaving about 0.5% - 1% is ultimately not something I can address because it is opinion. A million Americans are dead from this and more deaths are coming. Reminds me of the Stalin quote.
- dnautics 5y agoJust coming from a scientist that is SUPER used to reading graphs -- It's really hard to tell from those graphs because the scariness of those graphs could wind up being (horizontal) scaling artifacts, because we know in the countries that led the omicron wave it seems to burn out faster... If the number of deaths tails out just as quickly, the CFR will wind up being way lower, since total deaths are an integral under the curve, and cases are point-in-time values.