4 ms·

The amount of money that's flowing into the VC since the pandemic is insane! [1] Thanks to Fed's unlimited QE, investors can borrow almost free cash from the fe

by devy 5y ago

The amount of money that's flowing into the VC since the pandemic is insane! [1] Thanks to Fed's unlimited QE, investors can borrow almost free cash from the feds and pour them into the VC funds for investments. Great times to be an entrepreneur! However, this reminds me of the dot com bubble years. When is this going to end? A lot scary to think about the consequences if that were to happen... [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29880132 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29880132

kevinventullo 5y ago
I think I have a pretty good idea of exactly which sub-sector of Tech right now is most likely to be a bubble…
- mizzao 5y ago
  The one that causes repeated flamewars on HN?
deleted 5y ago
[deleted]
itsoktocry 5y ago
>Thanks to Fed's unlimited QE, investors can borrow almost free cash from the feds and pour them into the VC funds for investments. Yes, there is a surplus of capital (and has been for a few years), so it's cheap. No, there isn't unlimited QE, and no investors are borrowing from the Fed.
- robocat 5y ago
  > no investors are borrowing from the Fed. Some of the borrowing is indirect. Let’s say you have a portfolio that includes property. Inflation is high and the current 15 year interest rates are low, so you might increase your mortgage to the maximum. You then put that money into other investments, including VC. This opportunity is even available to many home owners in the US.
  - gjs278 5y ago
  - robocat 5y ago
    Perhaps another second order effect? Anyone who is not buying property because they can’t afford it (say in San Francisco), and is instead investing as a retail investor, is indirectly doing so because of low fed rates. Although I am unsure how much money flows into VC from retail investors via funds. Low fed rates lead to an overpriced home market (people borrow as much as they can afford to bid on a house, and what they can afford depends on interest repayments which depends upon interest rates).
- scottiebarnes 5y ago
  > No, there isn't unlimited QE Well there certainly isn't any explicit limit either.

by devy 5y ago

kevinventullo 5y ago

I think I have a pretty good idea of exactly which sub-sector of Tech right now is most likely to be a bubble…

mizzao 5y ago
The one that causes repeated flamewars on HN?

deleted 5y ago

[deleted]

itsoktocry 5y ago

>Thanks to Fed's unlimited QE, investors can borrow almost free cash from the feds and pour them into the VC funds for investments. Yes, there is a surplus of capital (and has been for a few years), so it's cheap. No, there isn't unlimited QE, and no investors are borrowing from the Fed.

robocat 5y ago
> no investors are borrowing from the Fed. Some of the borrowing is indirect. Let’s say you have a portfolio that includes property. Inflation is high and the current 15 year interest rates are low, so you might increase your mortgage to the maximum. You then put that money into other investments, including VC. This opportunity is even available to many home owners in the US.
- gjs278 5y ago
- robocat 5y ago
  Perhaps another second order effect? Anyone who is not buying property because they can’t afford it (say in San Francisco), and is instead investing as a retail investor, is indirectly doing so because of low fed rates. Although I am unsure how much money flows into VC from retail investors via funds. Low fed rates lead to an overpriced home market (people borrow as much as they can afford to bid on a house, and what they can afford depends on interest repayments which depends upon interest rates).
scottiebarnes 5y ago
> No, there isn't unlimited QE Well there certainly isn't any explicit limit either.