Confirmation bias goes both ways, I'm not saying anything about how it might be affecting perceived report frequency. I'm saying a prediction about a specific

Confirmation bias goes both ways, I'm not saying anything about how it might be affecting perceived report frequency. I'm saying a prediction about a specific timeline in years or decades is not important. Whether you're right that it was a few years or decades sooner than expected, or right that it was a few years or decades later than expected, doesn't really matter to me.