For >70% seroprevalence, with IFR 0.5 (best estimates pre-vaccination), and a population of 1.4 billion would still give around 5 million deaths. I would expect

For >70% seroprevalence, with IFR 0.5 (best estimates pre-vaccination), and a population of 1.4 billion would still give around 5 million deaths. I would expect India’s IFR baseline to be lower than average western (younger population, low obesity), but surges would lead to healthcare collapse raising it.