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So you're saying, yes. There is confirmation bias, and earlier-than-expected things will be reported more, while later-than-expected things are "the wrong thin

• tejohnso 5y ago
  Confirmation bias goes both ways, I'm not saying anything about how it might be affecting perceived report frequency. I'm saying a prediction about a specific timeline in years or decades is not important. Whether you're right that it was a few years or decades sooner than expected, or right that it was a few years or decades later than expected, doesn't really matter to me.