3 ms·

This survey specifically looks at risk at the personal scale, and finds the same order of over-estimation: https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/354938/adults

• zwirbl 5y ago
  This only holds if hospitalization is the only thing to be concerned about and in my opinion is just as misleading as focusing solely on death rate. I am much more concerned about long term effects of an infection, even if asymptomatic (which by definition doesn't lead to hospitalization), specifically on stamina/concentration.
  • CryptoPunk 5y ago
    Perceptions of hospitalization are a pretty reliable proxy for perceptions of overall risk, and it's clear from the data that most of the public is massively over-estimating the risk posed by COVID. >I am much more concerned about long term effects of an infection The best evidence available suggests most cases of "long COVID" are misattribution: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2785832 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullar... >even if asymptomatic COVID is not some magical disease. The long term complications emanate from the damage during infection, with severe infections more likely to have long term complications. Mild infections are very unlikely to have long term complications except in so far as the collective hysteria, which is confirmed by polls, and that vastly over-estimates the threat of COVID and leads to extreme over reactions like two week total isolation prescribed for all cases, or all in person classes being cancelled in universities that have a few mild cases, has psychosomatic effects.