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Basically she's saying the current models would be poor tools to use for deciding what to do about climate change and moreover the media is too simplistic and c
by mc32 5y ago
Basically she's saying the current models would be poor tools to use for deciding what to do about climate change and moreover the media is too simplistic and confident when they make extreme weather attribution. But that is nothing new --hence Gell-Mann amnesia effect.
>"And that is what I think is the biggest problem. The way that extreme event attributions are presented in the media conveys a false sense of accuracy. The probabilities that they quote could be orders of magnitude too small. The current climate models just aren’t good enough to give accurate estimates."
- icegreentea2 5y agoI think Sabine's point is more limited than "current models would be poor tools to use for deciding what to do about climate change", and more like "current models would be poor tools for extreme weather attribution". Of course, if your threshold for action on climate change is strong extreme weather attribution, then ok. But I think it's reasonable to also have lower or different thresholds for planning nad action. I do feel queasy about the current phrasing of extreme weather attribution, especially as portrayed in the media.