That could happen. A kind of long-term black swan event. It is good practice to go shopping for groceries. But what if tomorrow is the day you get hit by a tru

That could happen. A kind of long-term black swan event. It is good practice to go shopping for groceries. But what if tomorrow is the day you get hit by a truck in the shop’s parking lot? Kind of negates the benefit, doesn’t it? Point being, hypotheticals are not predictions. There’s no perfect heuristic here. That’s life.