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That is a very good point. I certainly hope we don't have entities like Countrywide running around handing out no-documentation mortgages like candy. But I thi
by walrus01 5y ago
That is a very good point. I certainly hope we don't have entities like Countrywide running around handing out no-documentation mortgages like candy.
But I think the price bubble for homes is outpacing ordinary peoples' growth in income in many cities. Not everyone is a HN reader with a six figure salary and money in S&P 500 index funds, ETFs that have almost doubled since 2017.
Another important metric to look at is the percentage of people or dual-income couples whose salaries are more modest, who could have financially handled the burden of a mortgage for a home (or condo) at 2014 market rates and prices, and who have now been permanently priced out of the market into being a permanent renter. The home they might want to buy has now doubled in value but their salaries are not markedly different from 2014.
- dcolkitt 5y ago> Not everyone is a HN reader with a six figure salary and money in S&P 500 index funds, ETFs that have almost doubled since 2017. But not everyone has to be, because the supply of housing is so limited. The number of new homes is still way below population growth, and it's increasingly becoming a trend for boomers to "age in place" instead of downsizing as they age. That means a large number of would be home buyers are competing for a tiny pool of available homes. In that kind of scenario the price of housing can become completely untethered from what the "average family" can afford, and totally driven the wealth of a small elite.