4 ms·
After successive black streaks about the only thing you can say is maybe the wheel is biased toward black. Assuming no green, and a perfectly unbiased wheel, bl
by chrismcb 5y ago
After successive black streaks about the only thing you can say is maybe the wheel is biased toward black. Assuming no green, and a perfectly unbiased wheel, black if a fifty fifty chance. Which means the next infinity sounds half will be black. If there were three blacks in a row, it doesn't mean red is more likely, as the rest of the spins half will be black.
- coldtea 5y ago>Assuming no green, and a perfectly unbiased wheel, black if a fifty fifty chance. Which means the next infinity sounds half will be black. If there were three blacks in a row, it doesn't mean red is more likely, as the rest of the spins half will be black Well, the point is: "black if a fifty fifty chance" and "the next infinity sounds half will be black" doesn't sit well with: "if there were three blacks in a row, it doesn't mean red is more likely". The roll is independent, but in some sense either the roulette is unfair or red will increasingly be more likely. In other words, since there is a statistical property working across many/infinite rolls (regression to the mean, black/red equally likely), this property makes sense to also somehow affect the possibility of individual rolls (as individual rolls are still rolls within an aggregate).