3 ms·
every few or so year, IPCC picks the best model from hundred in the past few years that predicted the present the best, extrapolate the future, and call it the
by avereveard 5y ago
every few or so year, IPCC picks the best model from hundred in the past few years that predicted the present the best, extrapolate the future, and call it the truth, and people online get flogged for suggesting that maybe the whole process reek of selection bias, since the model in exam are for the most part curve fitting and not derived from first principles, so in a changing environment their long term accuracy is questionable.