I'm all for being cynical about the devotion of employers to their employees, but I think it's reasonable to expect a good chunk of their savings on health care

I'm all for being cynical about the devotion of employers to their employees, but I think it's reasonable to expect a good chunk of their savings on health care costs will be shifted to other kinds of compensation. Of course, the employer will try to spend as little as possible on their employees conditional on being able to hire the workers they need. But they won't be able to hire the workers they need if they are out of line with the market in compensation. Part of that calculus in today's world is that employees expect their employers to provide them with good health insurance. If the employee is instead paying for that health insurance through their taxes, they will expect to be paid more. This will only work for the employees who have some power to bargain with their employers, i.e. workers whose skills are in demand. But then, the same goes for healthcare in the current situation.