4 ms·
You‘ve completely missed his point of stratification. What he meant is checking your personal risk of covid hospitalization and death based on age / preexistin
by DanielleMolloy 5y ago
You‘ve completely missed his point of stratification.
What he meant is checking your personal risk of covid hospitalization and death based on age / preexisting conditions / BMI.
The former equals your risk of blocking an ICU bed.
If you still haven’t estimated your personal risk profile you can do so with this calculator from Oxford (afaik based on data from the more dangerous / less transmissible alpha variant, not on omicron which seemingly is taking over now): https://qcovid.org/ https://qcovid.org/
If you are elderly or obese, also check the risk of a 20yo or 39yo with normal weight and no preconditions. Given the mild covid cases they’ve got, it seems the author assessed his risk pretty well.
- ntlind 5y agoThe author shouldn't just be considering his individual risk level, though, which is the parent comment's point. Even if the individual's risk is extremely low, the expected negative societal impact can still be high given a) many other people are also taking the same risk at the same time, b) the system has a non-linear "breaking point" / constraint (e.g., a limited supply of hospital resources that are all near capacity), and c) crossing the breaking point causes major problems for people in and out of the system (i.e., doctors, people with QOL procedures that have to be cancelled due to overflow, etc.).
- pixl97 5y agoA 3rd of the US is obese, at minimum, rates are likely higher.