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I think you’ll see that I very explicitly said I am not willing to definitively say those things, but that I am highly skeptical that those types of effects wou
by hamburglar 5y ago
I think you’ll see that I very explicitly said I am not willing to definitively say those things, but that I am highly skeptical that those types of effects would be so responsive to the changes in number of
Covid cases.
Does it in any way make sense to you that Covid cases falling by X% in a given week would directly cause an immediate corresponding drop in depression, drug overdose, or prescription drug supply chain issues? That would be absolutely incredible to me. It did however cause an immediate corresponding decline in excess deaths, regardless of assigning any cause. That tells me something.
- freyr 5y ago> It did however cause an immediate corresponding decline in excess deaths, regardless of assigning any cause. Did it, though? We see deaths increase in August/September during the Delta wave, but we don’t see them decline when Covid cases fell drastically earlier in the summer: https://imgur.com/a/b4Pobrh https://imgur.com/a/b4Pobrh That suggests 25-44 year olds may be experiencing an elevated death rate that persists even when Covid cases were low.
- hamburglar 5y agoI’ll need to rerun my graphs. I haven’t done them since mid summer but at the time if you overlaid the Covid rise and fall on the excess deaths rise and fall it was uncanny how well they matched. The falling side of delta may have been different.