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Worth noting that while there is a clear and measurable increase, the CDC makes a nonetheless significant error by assuming 2019 is the baseline when in fact we
by jtc331 5y ago
Worth noting that while there is a clear and measurable increase, the CDC makes a nonetheless significant error by assuming 2019 is the baseline when in fact we see a baseline increase every year even without other factors (both because of increasing population and because of slowing advances in medically extending lifespans).
- edmundsauto 5y agoPopulation growth is about 0.4% in the US, so that's probably not a big factor. In 2019, the CDC estimated that age-adjusted expected lifespan increased by 1.2% [0]. I think the population growth would indicate a lower death rate than implied by direct counting, since total pop is the denominator. However, I think the increased lifespan would work in the counter direction - Americans should live longer in 2020 than in '19 without C19. So while the CDC made methodological mistakes, I don't think it would affect the conclusion. [0] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2020/202012.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2020/...
- Rondon11 5y agoAssociated Press | Jan 31, 2020 at 11:53 AM For 1st time in 4 years, US life expectancy rises — a little https://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/health/health-fitness/sns-life-expectancy-united-states-rises-20200131-e7ststpypzagrk53vukdo2onem-story.html https://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/health/health-fitn...