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> There's a reason the S&P went up almost 30% this year - a lot of it was an adjustment for the boost in money supply. This is commonly repeated and feels like
by alphabettsy 5y ago
> There's a reason the S&P went up almost 30% this year - a lot of it was an adjustment for the boost in money supply.
This is commonly repeated and feels like it doesn’t hold up to scrutiny.
2021 was the third time in a decade with ~30% returns.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2324/sp-500-historical-chart-data https://www.macrotrends.net/2324/sp-500-historical-chart-dat...
Maybe it’s partly true but there’s no way that’s the whole explanation and if anything it’s probably just a better explanation for why last year wasn’t flat or negative.
- rebelos 5y agoYou seem to be implying that an increase in money supply has to be the only catalyst for outsized annual S&P returns, and I'm not following that logic.
- alphabettsy 5y agoI just said I don’t believe it’s the case.