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Are these numbers for the US?
by cinntaile 5y ago
Are these numbers for the US?
- petmon 5y agoYes. You can do a quick and dirty estimate working backwards from the article's own figure of 2.6 million COVID hospitalizations in the US. If you very generously assume 1/3 of Americans have been infected, you get a hospitalization rate of 2.3%. If you assume the vaccines prevent hospitalizations, then the risk to the unvaccinated must be higher.
- MatteoFrigo 5y agoI wouldn't call 1/3 "generous". https://covidestim.org/ https://covidestim.org/ has some estimates of the fraction of people ever infected by US state. I can't seem to find an US aggregate figure, but by clicking on a few random states they all seem to be at least 50%. California (the most populous state) is around 60% even before omicron. Your estimate is likely off by a factor of two.