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Some time ago I looked at the odds of dying from covid Delta, which was less virulent but more deadly than Omicron. Based on the Zoe study from the U.K. the od
by irthomasthomas 5y ago
Some time ago I looked at the odds of dying from covid Delta, which was less virulent but more deadly than Omicron. Based on the Zoe study from the U.K. the odds of catching Delta where 17,000 to 1. https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/uk-rates-holding-steady-in-spite-of-indian-variant https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/uk-rates-holding-steady-in-sp...
The odds of dying, I took from the CDC, because there are issues with counting deaths in U.K. For anyone up to 40 the odds of dying after catching covid are 1 in 5,000 for those with 2 or more co-morbid diseases, and 1 in 100,000 for those with fewer than 2 co-morbid diseases. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
That makes the chance of dying from covid for a 40 year old or younger = 1 in 83,333,333 for those with 2 co-morbid diseases and 1 in 1,700,000,000 for those with fewer than 2 co-morbid diseases.
Omicron may be different, but as it spreads faster and kills fewer, I doubt it will be any worse in the end.
Now you need to know the chance of dying from a vaccine adverse event but I don't have that to hand.