3 ms·
The announced end date is the goal. It just so happens that making the system reliable enough to last x days means it also has a high, but not sure, chance that
by frosted-flakes 5y ago
The announced end date is the goal. It just so happens that making the system reliable enough to last x days means it also has a high, but not sure, chance that it will last 10x days.
- wolverine876 5y agoThat is a possible description of their thinking, but what is it based on?
- loonster 5y agoEasier to just say it's NASA's high percentage confidence interval. Maybe it's the 95% mark. They are 95% certain it will last 5 years. They likely also have lower confidence intervals with longer times. (If anyone knows what percentage the confidence interval actually is, I would be curious to know)