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There's solving the problem - and there's solving the scenario. I'd presume that a logical contestant would google blue to be the most frequently chosen random

by goldcd 5y ago

There's solving the problem - and there's solving the scenario. I'd presume that a logical contestant would google blue to be the most frequently chosen random colour, and the two of you would just scream "blue" at each other other and then you'd end the game.

nkmnz 5y ago
This is not true in a live and death scenario, because with asymmetric payoffs like that - termination being the down side risk - it is not at all „rational“ to jump to the answer that gives the highest probability of success, if that answer still has a non-zero risk of death.
- goldcd 5y ago
  Then as I mentioned below, you neither of you send a message and the game remains open indefinitely.
  - nkmnz 5y ago
    How do you do that after you’ve been killed for screaming „blue“?
    - goldcd 5y ago
      But I'm only killed if they don't say blue and end the game on that - if they stay silent the game runs forever. So still think it makes sense to say it. It might get through and they repeat and we win. It might not, and they'd be taking a guess that I'd said it. (but the alternate would be I've not sent a message, providing best output of game-running forever/death - so if they presumed I was logical, they'd know I'd said 'blue')
    - thaumasiotes 5y ago
      You don't seem to have read all of goldcd's original comment: >>> and the two of you would just scream "blue" at each other You come to an agreement before you announce a choice.
MauranKilom 5y ago
As the article notes, blue is actually a distant second in color choices mentioned by interviewees.
- goldcd 5y ago
  I must confess, I hadn't actually read the 2nd half. Also that I'd mis-read the question - I'd assumed it was being played with one of the variations, but the variation being used wasn't shared with the participants. I was always awful at reading the question.. Also my 'gut random colour' was red, but got blue back from google. Maybe there's something about red being a more assertive colour - or maybe it just helps to identify people who googled this article before an interview.

by goldcd 5y ago

nkmnz 5y ago

This is not true in a live and death scenario, because with asymmetric payoffs like that - termination being the down side risk - it is not at all „rational“ to jump to the answer that gives the highest probability of success, if that answer still has a non-zero risk of death.

goldcd 5y ago
Then as I mentioned below, you neither of you send a message and the game remains open indefinitely.
- nkmnz 5y ago
  How do you do that after you’ve been killed for screaming „blue“?
  - goldcd 5y ago
    But I'm only killed if they don't say blue and end the game on that - if they stay silent the game runs forever. So still think it makes sense to say it. It might get through and they repeat and we win. It might not, and they'd be taking a guess that I'd said it. (but the alternate would be I've not sent a message, providing best output of game-running forever/death - so if they presumed I was logical, they'd know I'd said 'blue')
  - thaumasiotes 5y ago
    You don't seem to have read all of goldcd's original comment: >>> and the two of you would just scream "blue" at each other You come to an agreement before you announce a choice.

MauranKilom 5y ago

As the article notes, blue is actually a distant second in color choices mentioned by interviewees.

goldcd 5y ago
I must confess, I hadn't actually read the 2nd half. Also that I'd mis-read the question - I'd assumed it was being played with one of the variations, but the variation being used wasn't shared with the participants. I was always awful at reading the question.. Also my 'gut random colour' was red, but got blue back from google. Maybe there's something about red being a more assertive colour - or maybe it just helps to identify people who googled this article before an interview.