Its there at the bottom: >A previous version of this page used a five-year average of deaths in a given region to calculate a baseline for excess deaths. The p

Its there at the bottom: >A previous version of this page used a five-year average of deaths in a given region to calculate a baseline for excess deaths. The page now uses a statistical model for each region, which predicts the number of deaths we might normally have expected in 2020. The model fits a linear trend to years, to adjust from long-term increases or decreases in deaths, and a fixed effect for each week or month.