I think a lot of people don't realize that they're never making just one simple dice roll. > Parents often can and will do whatever they can to protect their c

I think a lot of people don't realize that they're never making just one simple dice roll. > Parents often can and will do whatever they can to protect their child... I'd adjust that to "parents can and will do whatever they think will protect their child based on whatever the current wisdom (or scary headline) suggests". Consider parents not letting their kids go trick or treating because they don't want to roll the dice on someone putting a razor blade in their candy. As a result, their kid will never eat a razor blade (though really they almost certainly never would have anyway), but what's the cost of missing out on that experience? Even if missing the experience is costly, maybe it ends up being a win because the kid now has a better relationship with sugary garbage food as an adult? Seeing the whole picture is difficult. The furniture thing seems straightforward to me. I'd feel relatively confident that we won't learn anything surprising in the coming years about pros/cons of anchoring a book shelf to the wall. You can make that decision today with pretty good confidence that you understand the risk profile (and it seems like all upside, especially since its reversible anyway). What are the odds that we don't learn something surprising in the next year about covid, the vaccines, the interaction between the two, any new variants, etc? It seems reasonable to me to make the same "even from low chances of danger" argument about skipping the vaccines for kids. Everyone is going to do their best, and some people are going to be wrong. The confidence that I see people having that they're the ones who are going to be right is baffling to me (edit: in general, not talking about you specifically).