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You’re not seeing how the delta variant would have spread in a fully unvaccinated population. Notice how the original variant and the more infectious alpha vari
by telchar 5y ago
You’re not seeing how the delta variant would have spread in a fully unvaccinated population. Notice how the original variant and the more infectious alpha variant failed to thrive post-vaccine. There was some competition effect from delta but it isn’t as if one variant directly suppresses another. Delta would have ravaged the country without vaccination reducing its rate of spread.
- lambdaba 5y agoBulgaria has a very low vaccination rate (27%) and the curve doesn't look that much different from the US's: https://www.google.com/search?q=bulgaria+covid https://www.google.com/search?q=bulgaria+covid It does seem better, but can we know for sure to what this can be attributed? Usually places that had an easier time in 2020 got worse this year, and vice-versa, which makes sense...
- SideburnsOfDoom 5y agoUS vaccination rate is not great, and will be patchy (some places quite well vaccinated, some well below average). A better comparison would be Bulgaria to Portugal.
- Zigurd 5y agoThe Economist tracks excess deaths, which is a more accurate measure of how deadly COVID is, especially in places with iffy stats. Bulgaria looks like reporting is not reliable: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...