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>Because this means tens of millions of more dead bodies. That implies there are tens of million dead bodies already but there aren't. There are maybe a few mi
by noxer 5y ago
>Because this means tens of millions of more dead bodies.
That implies there are tens of million dead bodies already but there aren't.
There are maybe a few millions at most. From which only a part it accrual excess death and from that only a part is excess death that actually reduced average age below life expectancy by a signification margin i.e. shortened the life by several month.
If the virus would go away now we should see less death in the coming years which further diminishes the actual effect.
Just to put in in perspective there may be 5 million COVID associated deaths in a time frame (~2 years) where 120 million death are expected And 280 million new people are expect to have been born (unclear if COVID has a positive or negative effect on this number).
Needless to say COVID does not even make a dent in the growth of the global population.
It may slow growth down by like 1-2% that means 2 years of COVID made the global population lag behind is a few days compared to no COVID.
- kapilvt 5y agoExcess deaths estimates are in excess of 10million. Ie totals of 18.4 with 95 confidence.. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...
- noxer 5y agoThats still not "tens of millions" and a huge portion of these will be caused by the measurement done in the name of fighting COVID. Either way smoking has killed more people each year for many years now than COVID + all pandemic related excess death in one year together. That should give a context of how minuscule it is on a global scale. Like we are still an order of magnitudes away from making the global population stop growing. If you know a person who died due to COVID and everyone you know also know a person who died due to COVID then everyone subjectively things many many people died but most people know 100+ people and every person who dies was know by many people so in reality only a fraction of a percent of all people would need to die for this to be statically true.