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im optimistic about this as well but it hasnt been long enough to tell for sure. Theres a lag in contracting the virus and death occurring, south africa is at i
by penjelly 5y ago
im optimistic about this as well but it hasnt been long enough to tell for sure. Theres a lag in contracting the virus and death occurring, south africa is at its case peak right now so we need to wait a couple weeks and see if deaths follow. That and we need to see if Omicron truly outcompetes other variants, in the UK they have both delta and omicron for now.
That said, I believe we would be seeing higher rate of hospitalizations if this were as dangerous as the other variants.
- funcDropShadow 5y agoYou rightly noted that deaths occur a few weeks after contraction of the virus, and hospitalization usually somewhere between those two dates. So the hospitalization curve also follows the infection curve with a delay. Therefore, hospitalization might still go up. The following argument is often completely ignored, even if Omicron hospitalizes only half as many percent of infected people as Delta, it will reach the same absolute number of hospital patients one doubling period later, which is around two to three days later for most countries. I.e. it doesn't matter for the question whether public health systems collapse if you don't stop the wave of infections.