Excess mortality is an useful metric. It's flaw being that our habits completely changed due to social distancing and lock down and has to be addressed somehow.

Excess mortality is an useful metric. It's flaw being that our habits completely changed due to social distancing and lock down and has to be addressed somehow. > Because of COVID or with COVID when they died? I'm afraid this question is impossible to answer due to uncertainty but... I - Outliers like immunodeficient and morbid obese could be excluded. II - If you want to know the probability of someone dying due to having COVID you can use the Bayesian theorem to find it giving that you have (1) the incidence of people dying that have Covid (2) the incidence of any kind of death, (3) the incidence of Covid (lack of testing is an issue).