4 ms·

Well we obviously have no control group for this question, but the predictions have been off the charts wrong in the past whilst the impact of the restrictions

Well we obviously have no control group for this question, but the predictions have been off the charts wrong in the past whilst the impact of the restrictions appear to have been overstated. Of course this is a subjective view, but this is almost becoming the accepted narrative in the UK. As of today, we are not getting further restrictions because SAGE and the modelling has been discredited. They are screaming for more restrictions and escalating to talk about millions of cases per day, and our politicians are (rightly, in my opinion) putting them back in their boxes. The more interesting point is that this time we may actually have data before restrictions. When cases begin to fall without further restrictions even with the more transmissible omicron, I am hoping it will be the final nail in the coffin for credibility of the modellers.

maxehmookau 5y ago
> this is almost becoming the accepted narrative in the UK "Accepted narrative" != "Anything resembling the truth". > restrictions because SAGE and the modelling has been discredited. They are screaming for more restrictions and escalating to talk about millions of cases per day, and our politicians are (rightly, in my opinion) putting them back in their boxes. This narrative of "policians vs. scientists" is gaining traction here and I hate it. It's unhelpful and incorrect. It's reductive, but who would you rather have making decisions about our country in a pandemic? Chris Whitty, or Boris Johnson? I know who I'd pick. > I am hoping it will be the final nail in the coffin for credibility of the modellers. Then what? Who do we put our faith in? Politicians with no scientific background who make decisions based on political convienience?
- WickyNilliams 5y ago
  Furthermore, I would not say it is an accepted narrative among people I know. Anecdotal of course, but it is definitely not universal. Though the UK media has a particular talent for unifying to push a message that suits their ideological leanings, which can often give a distorted view of public mood

maxehmookau 5y ago

> this is almost becoming the accepted narrative in the UK "Accepted narrative" != "Anything resembling the truth". > restrictions because SAGE and the modelling has been discredited. They are screaming for more restrictions and escalating to talk about millions of cases per day, and our politicians are (rightly, in my opinion) putting them back in their boxes. This narrative of "policians vs. scientists" is gaining traction here and I hate it. It's unhelpful and incorrect. It's reductive, but who would you rather have making decisions about our country in a pandemic? Chris Whitty, or Boris Johnson? I know who I'd pick. > I am hoping it will be the final nail in the coffin for credibility of the modellers. Then what? Who do we put our faith in? Politicians with no scientific background who make decisions based on political convienience?

WickyNilliams 5y ago
Furthermore, I would not say it is an accepted narrative among people I know. Anecdotal of course, but it is definitely not universal. Though the UK media has a particular talent for unifying to push a message that suits their ideological leanings, which can often give a distorted view of public mood